— / OPINION:
Unfortunately, as I've always said, Russia is not Iran's ally, it is simply a strategic partner. When it suits the Russians, they cooperate with us, but when it's not in their interests, they don't. It's as simple as that.
I don't think this is 'betrayal', nor do I think Russia is inherently dishonest. They simply put their own national interests first, no matter what. And I don't blame them; isn't that what every country is supposed to do?
I would love it if Russia supported Iran based on some shared ideology or worldview, but that simply is not the case. Russia is pragmatic, Iran is ideologic; Russia works with whomever suits their interests best, Iran works mainly with ideological allies; Russia is flexible, Iran is consistent.
At the very least, Russia is honest about its pragmatic approach, unlike the United States which constantly pretends that it is acting from a values-based worldview and then violates those very same values (democracy, human rights, freedom etc.) on a daily basis.
When working with a country like Russia, it is important to realize and understand that cooperation will only go as far as shared interests. Anything beyond that is uncertain, and should not be relied upon, much less taken for granted.
The same is true for China. Long gone are the days that China operated from an ideology-based worldview. Their foreign policy is once again very simple: Do whatever benefits China the most.
It is in Russia's vital interests to support Iran at least to the extent of keeping its government stable and enabling its military to endure basic hostilities, but not much more than that. In case of any fundamental threat to the continuity of the Iranian government, do not count on Russia's support; they will already be busy making deals with the 'new guys in town', like they did with Jolani during the fall of Assad in late 2024.
And like I said, from a 'realpolitik' perspective this pragmatic approach makes perfect logical sense. Why waste billions in military support when you can just preemptively forge ties with the new government-to-be?
Anyways, all I'm trying to say is, the illusion that Russia will ever come to Iran's aid are long gone. I have always respected the Russians and will continue to do so, not based on false notions of a shared ideological perspective but rather based on an approach of cooperation founded on mutual interests.
@Middle_East_Spectator
Unfortunately, as I've always said, Russia is not Iran's ally, it is simply a strategic partner. When it suits the Russians, they cooperate with us, but when it's not in their interests, they don't. It's as simple as that.
I don't think this is 'betrayal', nor do I think Russia is inherently dishonest. They simply put their own national interests first, no matter what. And I don't blame them; isn't that what every country is supposed to do?
I would love it if Russia supported Iran based on some shared ideology or worldview, but that simply is not the case. Russia is pragmatic, Iran is ideologic; Russia works with whomever suits their interests best, Iran works mainly with ideological allies; Russia is flexible, Iran is consistent.
At the very least, Russia is honest about its pragmatic approach, unlike the United States which constantly pretends that it is acting from a values-based worldview and then violates those very same values (democracy, human rights, freedom etc.) on a daily basis.
When working with a country like Russia, it is important to realize and understand that cooperation will only go as far as shared interests. Anything beyond that is uncertain, and should not be relied upon, much less taken for granted.
The same is true for China. Long gone are the days that China operated from an ideology-based worldview. Their foreign policy is once again very simple: Do whatever benefits China the most.
It is in Russia's vital interests to support Iran at least to the extent of keeping its government stable and enabling its military to endure basic hostilities, but not much more than that. In case of any fundamental threat to the continuity of the Iranian government, do not count on Russia's support; they will already be busy making deals with the 'new guys in town', like they did with Jolani during the fall of Assad in late 2024.
And like I said, from a 'realpolitik' perspective this pragmatic approach makes perfect logical sense. Why waste billions in military support when you can just preemptively forge ties with the new government-to-be?
Anyways, all I'm trying to say is, the illusion that Russia will ever come to Iran's aid are long gone. I have always respected the Russians and will continue to do so, not based on false notions of a shared ideological perspective but rather based on an approach of cooperation founded on mutual interests.
@Middle_East_Spectator
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